Problem This Solves
Firms default to cost-plus markups or match competitor prices without a disciplined framework for choosing where within the range of defensible prices they should actually set the price. The result is either leaving money on the table (pricing too low for the value delivered) or losing winnable sales (pricing above what the market will bear). This reference provides the structured process for determining the right price level.
Key Principle
Every product has a viable price range bounded by a ceiling (total economic value from EVE) and a floor (the next-best competitive alternative's price for positively differentiated products, or variable cost for negatively differentiated products). The gap between actual price and maximum economic value is the "incentive to purchase" -- the surplus the buyer keeps. How that differentiation value is shared between buyer and seller is not driven by altruism but by what yields long-term sustainable profits.
Within that range, the firm must make one of three strategic choices:
Skim pricing -- Capture superior margins at the expense of volume by targeting the least price-sensitive segments who place exceptionally high value on differentiation. Requires (a) a substantial commitment to communicating why differentiation justifies the high price, and (b) competitive protection such as patents, brand reputation, or scarce resources. Sequential skimming starts at the highest price, sells to the least price-sensitive segment, then progressively lowers price to capture the next segment ("pushing down the stack").
Penetration pricing -- Set a price low relative to perceived value to attract and hold a large customer base. Penetration prices are not necessarily cheap in absolute terms; they must be low relative to the value delivered. Three conditions must hold: (a) the firm has a significant cost or resource advantage, (b) the firm has complementary products that benefit from the traffic, or (c) the firm is small enough that growth will not provoke competitive retaliation. Penetration pricing should be self-funding through volume-driven cost economies.
Neutral pricing -- A strategic decision not to use price to gain market share, while not allowing price alone to restrict it. Minimizes the role of price as a marketing tool. Often adopted when neither skim nor penetration conditions exist. A neutral price can still be the highest or lowest in the market if perceived value justifies the position.
Good Examples
- Tesla (sequential skimming): Roadster at $109,000 (2008), Model S at $71,500 (2012), Model 3 at $35,000 -- progressively "pushing down the stack" to capture broader segments while maintaining premium positioning at each tier.
- Fazioli pianos, Porsche, Festool power tools (skim pricing): Sustained premium prices backed by genuine differentiation, strong brand communication, and competitive protection.
- Save-A-Lot grocers (self-funding penetration): High turnover, high sales per square foot, and high sales per employee generate cost economies that sustain profitability despite rock-bottom prices.
- Dell (penetration via direct distribution): Earned exceptional per-sale profits by eliminating distribution costs, enabling lower prices that drove volume.
- Medical device manufacturer (communicating increases): Successfully implemented a 40% price increase by notifying customers three months ahead, explaining eight years without an increase, showing the new price was still below indexed levels, and committing to R&D reinvestment.
Bad Examples
- Pricing below the next-best competitive alternative for a positively differentiated product: Risks triggering a price war by putting competitors' customers in a negative-economic-benefit position -- an avoidable provocation.
- Using service-price discounts to induce trial: Once customers enjoy a service at a low introductory price, renewing at the real price is perceived as a loss and strongly resisted. Never discount the ongoing service price.
- Assuming every market responds to lower prices: A common misconception driving unsuccessful penetration pricing schemes. Many markets lack the price sensitivity needed for penetration to work.
- Lacoste-style brand erosion: Penetration pricing used carelessly can undermine a brand's long-term appeal. If discounting is needed, use separate channels (outlet stores) to protect the premium image.
- Pricing low initially hoping to raise later: Initial prices anchor buyers' perceptions of fairness, making future increases extremely difficult to implement.
Key Quotes
- "The decision on how value should be shared between buyer and seller is not driven by altruism but rather by judgment about what is most likely to yield long-term, sustainable profits."
- "A price premium over a competitor can often be framed as a 'discount relative to the value delivered,' a framing that can fundamentally shift the dynamics of value communication and price negotiation."
- "Only when competitors lack the ability or incentive to [match prices] is penetration pricing a practical strategy for gaining and holding market share."
- "Neutral pricing involves a strategic decision not to use price to gain market share, while not allowing price alone to restrict it."
- "Instead of asking 'What is price elasticity for this product?' it is often more practical and useful to ask 'What is the minimum elasticity that would be necessary to justify a particular price change?'"
- "Perceived fairness is one of the most powerful factors driving price sensitivity."
Rules of Thumb
- Define the viable range first. Use EVE output as the ceiling; use the next-best competitive alternative price (or variable cost for negatively differentiated products) as the floor.
- For new products without data, use a 50:50 sharing of differentiating value as the starting point, then adjust.
- Frame premiums as discounts relative to value, not as surcharges over competitors.
- Use breakeven sales change analysis instead of trying to estimate precise price elasticity. Ask: "How much volume can I afford to lose before this price increase becomes unprofitable?"
- At a 50% contribution margin, a 5% price increase only needs to avoid losing more than 9% of sales to break even; a 5% price decrease requires gaining at least 11%.
- Skim when protected; penetrate only when self-funding and competitors cannot or will not match. Default to neutral when neither condition holds.
- If a low price cannot deter competitors or establish competitive advantage, charge the most you can while you are able, then reevaluate when competitors enter.
- Implement incrementally when uncertain: Test price changes in small steps, calculate breakeven for each step, and stop when changes no longer improve profits.
- Price sensitivity is not fixed -- it can be influenced through marketing and value communication. Identify which of the nine sensitivity factors (reference value, switching costs, difficult comparison, end-benefit importance, price-quality perceptions, expenditure size, shared costs, transaction value, perceived fairness) are relevant and design communications accordingly.